Poll: Clinton Sweeps Floor With Trump (and Cruz) in Florida

Hillary ClintonEXPAND
Hillary Clinton
Courtesy of U.S. Department of State

Gone are the days of early March, when it seemed we were getting new polls and data about the political leanings of Florida voters every other day. Since the primary, it's been quite a while since a pollster has taken the political temperature of the state.

Since then, though, the dynamics  of the race have shifted, and Hillary Clinton and (perhaps to a slightly less guaranteed extent) Donald Trump are now the presumptive nominees of their parties. Though some polls in March suggested a close race between the two in the Sunshine State, that doesn't seem to be the case anymore. 

In fact, a new poll commissioned by the Republican-leaning Associated Industries of Florida shows Clinton sweeping the floor with Trump (and also with Ted Cruz, for what that's worth). 

The poll of 605 likely general election voters finds that Clinton leads Trump by 13 percent, 49-36. 

Cruz does slightly better, but Clinton still leads by 9 points, 48-39. 

Turns out not many people in Florida seem to like either Republican nominee. 

Trump's favorability ratings are farther underwater than Miami Beach will be in 200 years. Only 33 percent of Florida voters have a favorable opinion of him, compared to 62 who have an unfavorable opinion. That's a negative 29 percent gap. Among Hispanics, it's an astounding negative 77-point gap — with a full 87 percent disapproving of him. Even among Cuban-Americans, who are traditionally a rock of GOP support, Trump has a 60 percent negative split.

Ted Cruz doesn't do much better, with a 29/59 favorability split statewide. 

In the Trump-Clinton matchup, Clinton wins every demographic except white voters. 

However, Clinton isn't necessarily widely beloved in Florida. Her favorability split is just 46/52, which is still underwater. She still has a lot of work to do to genuinely appeal to independents and millennials. 

"In this critical swing state, it is clear to us that Republicans continue to suffer substantial brand damage amongst all segments of the ascending electorate (younger voters, Hispanics & NMPs), and this presidential campaign has clearly exacerbated these attitudes," AIF concludes. "Perhaps the best news for Republicans may be that the Democrats have selected a candidate who up to this point has really failed to launch and isn’t remotely generating the enthusiasm they’ve enjoyed in their two past campaigns." 


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