| Weather |

A Brewing Tropical Storm Could Take Aim at South Florida Next Week

Keep New Times Free
I Support
  • Local
  • Community
  • Journalism
  • logo

Support the independent voice of Miami and help keep the future of New Times free.

Good rule of thumb: When a storm system hasn't even morphed into a named tropical storm yet, it's way too early to raid Publix for vodka, er, emergency water supplies, no matter what the TV news is saying this morning.

But if you live in South Florida, it is worth watching a system brewing east of the Lesser Antilles. There's a high chance it turns into a depression in the next five days, and it's definitely headed northwest toward our neck of the woods. Hurricane hunter aircraft are on call to check the system this afternoon.

The system, currently just a tropical wave called 96L, is churning up heavy thunderstorms and winds about 350 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

"Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development during the next day or so," the National Hurricane Center says, as the storm moves northwest around 15 mph.

The storm will probably continue growing today and tomorrow as it chugs toward Hispaniola, with forecasters expecting it to pass over the Dominican Republic and Haiti this Saturday.

That could be good news for everyone north of the island, where mountain ranges have a tendency to tear up building storms like this one.

"[The] rugged terrain would likely disrupt the storm," Dr. Jeff Masters writes on his blog, Weather Underground. "With dry air expected to be in the Caribbean, the moderate levels of wind shear would likely be able to drive the dry air into the circulation of 96L, keeping any development slow."

If the storm survives its Saturday pass over the island, though, it has a decent chance of restrengthening over open water, and most models show it heading toward the Bahamas and South Florida.

"If 96L does develop, it would likely be similar to Tropical Storm Bertha of early August while in the Caribbean," Masters writes, "a disorganized system that struggles against dry air."

In other words: Hold off on that vodka run, but keep an eye on this one over the weekend.

Follow Miami New Times on Facebook and Twitter @MiamiNewTimes.

Keep Miami New Times Free... Since we started Miami New Times, it has been defined as the free, independent voice of Miami, and we would like to keep it that way. Offering our readers free access to incisive coverage of local news, food and culture. Producing stories on everything from political scandals to the hottest new bands, with gutsy reporting, stylish writing, and staffers who've won everything from the Society of Professional Journalists' Sigma Delta Chi feature-writing award to the Casey Medal for Meritorious Journalism. But with local journalism's existence under siege and advertising revenue setbacks having a larger impact, it is important now more than ever for us to rally support behind funding our local journalism. You can help by participating in our "I Support" membership program, allowing us to keep covering Miami with no paywalls.

We use cookies to collect and analyze information on site performance and usage, and to enhance and customize content and advertisements. By clicking 'X' or continuing to use the site, you agree to allow cookies to be placed. To find out more, visit our cookies policy and our privacy policy.


Join the New Times community and help support independent local journalism in Miami.


Join the New Times community and help support independent local journalism in Miami.