The problem for Trump? He can't beat any of the major Democratic candidates in the state in one-on-one general election match-ups. He'd even lose to Bernie Sanders in Florida. Yes, an avowed Democratic Socialist would beat Trump in a state that currently has Rick Scott at its governor.
Here's how the GOP field currently shakes out in Florida
- Donald Trump - 28 percent
- Ben Carson - 16 percent
- Marco Rubio - 14 percent
- Jeb Bush - 12 percent
- Carly Fiorina - 7 percent
- Ted Cruz - 6 percent
- Jon Kasich - 2 percent
- Rand Paul - 2 percent
- Chris Christie - 1 percent
- Mike Huckabee - 1 percent
Besides Trump's numbers, here are two main takeaways:
- This is the first time that Rubio has more support than Bush in Florida according to a Q poll.
- Fiorina-fever has not taken hold in Florida. Her seven percent is the same she received in the state in August.
Over on the Democrat side, there aren't many surprises:
- Hillary Clinton - 43 percent
- Joe Biden - 19 percent
- Bernie Sanders - 19 percent
Clinton is down five percent from the August
Of course, Biden hasn't officially entered the race, and if he stays out it will generally benefit Clinton. Here's how it shakes out without Biden in the race:
- Hillary Clinton - 54 percent
- Bernie Sanders - 23 percent
- Jim Webb - 1 percent
However, it turns out Biden is the only Democrat who would win against every single major Republican in Florida. He leads Bush by four points, Carson by three points, Fiorina by 11 points, Rubio by three points, and Trump by an astounding 14 points.
Clinton's results against Republican is a mixed bag. She leads Carson by two points, Florina by two points, and Trump by five points, but is behind Bush and Rubio by 1 percent each (though, most of those results are within in the margin or error, making them statistical ties).
Sanders, meanwhile, doesn't have much hope in Florida in a general election. He trails Bush by four points, Carson by six points, Fiorina by one, and Rubio by five. Bernie's only hope is a head-to-head matchup against Trump. He leads the businessman by five points in Florida.