Does the Republican party have much of a future in Miami-Dade County? Not if current voter registration trends hold steady. In terms of registered voters, Republicans are now in third place behind Democrats and voters who have registered with no party affiliation.
With 1,290,602 total registered voters, Miami-Dade has the most voters in the state and accounts for roughly 10 percent of total voters in Florida. Whether Miami-Dade voters actually show up is a whole other matter.
According to the Division of Election’s latest numbers, 548,060 of those voters are Democrats. 360,442 are Republicans, and 362,745 have no party affiliation. So, yes there are now more independents than Republicans in the county.
This is also true in Broward County now (to no surprise), but Palm Beach still has more registered Republicans than independents, despite the fact it remains a blue-leaning county overall. However, voters with no party affiliation and those registered with minor parties do outnumber Republicans in Palm Beach.
Independent and minor party registrants now outnumber one of the major parties in 11 counties. In six of those Republicans hold the advantage, with many of those counties being relatively small population wise. Democrats hold the advantage of five, including South Florida's tri-county area along with Orange and Osceola counties.
Of course, that voter registration advantage hasn’t translated into Democrat dominance in the county. Though municipal politics remains officially nonpartisan, both Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez and Miami Mayor Tomas Regalado are Republicans. The county is represented by three Republicans and two Democrats in the U.S. House. More Republicans also represent Miami-Dade in the state House.
However, if the trend continues and Democrats in Miami-Dade actually turn out the vote, the county could be looking at a much more blue future (and that’s not a sea-level rise joke).
Keep Miami New Times Free... Since we started Miami New Times, it has been defined as the free, independent voice of Miami, and we would like to keep it that way. Offering our readers free access to incisive coverage of local news, food and culture. Producing stories on everything from political scandals to the hottest new bands, with gutsy reporting, stylish writing, and staffers who've won everything from the Society of Professional Journalists' Sigma Delta Chi feature-writing award to the Casey Medal for Meritorious Journalism. But with local journalism's existence under siege and advertising revenue setbacks having a larger impact, it is important now more than ever for us to rally support behind funding our local journalism. You can help by participating in our "I Support" membership program, allowing us to keep covering Miami with no paywalls.