Medical marijuana will be back on the ballot in Florida in November, and according to the latest poll numbers, it should pass easily. Eighty percent of all Floridians say they plan to vote for the amendment, and that includes vast majorities among all groups, including Republicans and those 65 and older. Only 16 percent say they plan to vote against it.
According to a Quinnipiac poll, 87 percent of Democrats and 71 percent of Republicans support medical marijuana. Among independents, approval is at 84 percent.
Eighty-nine percent of those aged 18 to 34 support the amendment. Support among every other age group is at 79 percent across the board.
Sixty percent of voters will need to vote yes on the amendment for it to pass.
In 2014, a similar amendment failed to reach passage, with just less than 58 percent of Floridians voting in favor. Several polls taken in the months before the election suggested passage should have
However, an opposition campaign funded by Las Vegas billionaire Sheldon Adelson chipped away at support. Adelson hasn't signaled he'll oppose the amendment this year, and presidential election years tend to bring out younger and Democratic-leaning voters. However, this poll was of 1,051 self-identified registered voters. Polls of "likely voters" tend to paint a more accurate picture of who shows up to vote.
Meanwhile, a majority of Floridians is also open to
"Do you support or oppose allowing adults in Florida to legally possess small amounts of marijuana for personal use?" the poll asked.
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Fifty-six said they would support it. Forty-one percent said they oppose it.
The demographic breakdowns are much more mixed.
Sixty-three and 65 percent of Democrats and independents, respectively, said they'd support decriminalization. Only 40 percent of Republicans said the would.
Seventy-nine percent of voters between 18 and 34 are in favor, but fewer older voters are onboard, with only 41 percent of those 65 and older supporting decriminalization.