The survey, conducted by Opinion Savvy and sponsored by the Jacksonville Times-Union and Fox 13 Tampa Bay, called up 555 registered Republicans in Florida on Wednesday.
Here's the breakdown:
- Donald Trump: 29.7 percent
- Ted Cruz: 20.4 percent
- Marco Rubio: 15 percent
- Jeb Bush: 12.5 percent
- Ben Carson: 7.7 percent
- Chris Christie: 6.1 percent
- Carly Fiorina: 2.7 percent
- Rand Paul: 2.6 percent
- John Kasich: 0.9 percent
- Rick Santorum: 0.1 percent
- George Pataki: 0.1 percent
Just 2.2 percent said they remained undecided.
Trump continues to do well with his
Cruz has surged in Florida in the past month. In the last Opinion Savvy Poll, taken on November 11, he was sitting at just 12 percent. His surge appears to be at the expense of Ben Carson (who is down from 22 percent in November). There's also waning enthusiasm in the state for our own Senator Marco Rubio. He was at 18 percent in the November poll.
Jeb Bush is actually doing a bit better since November. Back then he was at 11 percent.
Cruz is also now leading Hispanic Republicans in the state at 22.1 percent. Though Rubio isn't far away at 21.0 percent. Donald Trump, despite his anti-Mexican rhetoric, polls at 20.8 percent among Hispanics. Bush, who used to have a lock on the state's Hispanic Republican population, is now at 15. 9 percent.
In an odd question, the poll also asked Florida's Democrats who they'd like to see as the GOP nominee.
They found 37.3 percent saying they want Trump — perhaps because he seems to be the
So why is Cruz surging? Well, 25.8 percent of those who watched the debate claimed he won. That's compared to Trump at 23.8 percent.
Meanwhile, 30.8 said Bush lost the debate. He was followed by Kasich; 13.5 percent said he lost the debate.