There's no way around it: If Mitt Romney loses Florida he'll lose the election. After months of polling and campaigning, the conventional wisdom is that if Romney fails to capture the Sunshine State's 29 electoral votes he's left with very few paths to Electoral College victory.
Well, just a day before the election the Romney campaign appears pretty confident that it will prevail here despite polling showing the state as perhaps the closest race in the nation.
"Florida's baked," a top Romney advisor tells Toby Harden of The Daily Mail, meaning the campaign seems pretty confidant they'll prevail.
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Sure, Democrats have a small but significant advantage over Republicans in votes already cast through early voting and absentee ballots, but Harden reports that after only Indiana and North Carolina, Romney insiders are the most confidant of winning Florida than all the other swing states. Even more confidant than in Virginia.
This morning on MSNBC, Vice President Joe Biden meanwhile seemed less than confident of his ticket's chances in Florida. While predicting wins in other swing states, Biden only gave Obama an "even chance" of winning Florida.
However, the Obama campaign has the luxury of not being able to sweat a loss in Florida. The President can still lose in Florida and be left with a decent path to victory as long as he wins in states like Ohio, Iowa and Wisconsin.