Poll: Ileana Ros-Lehtinen Trails Generic Democratic Opponent

Keep New Times Free
I Support
  • Local
  • Community
  • Journalism
  • logo

Support the independent voice of Miami and help keep the future of New Times free.

Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen is such a part of Miami-Dade's political firmament it's hard to imagine the moderate Republican losing her seat until she's ready to retire. But a new poll shows Ros-Lehtinen trailing a generic Democratic opponent by two points. Is this just a temporary manifestation of the anti-incumbent and anti-Republican feelings stirred up by the government shutdown (and we should note this poll was commissioned by MoveOn.org), or is Ros-Lehtinen really in trouble?

The new poll by Public Policy Polling shows that while 47 percent of her constituents approve of the job Ileana is doing, 42 percent do not.

In a head-to-head matchup with a generic Republican, 45 percent say they'd vote for Ileana while 47 percent say they'd vote for the Democratic.

Ros-Lehtinen may be catching flack from anger over the shutdown. Sixty-two percent of people in her district say that they "oppose Congress shutting down major activities of the federal government as a way to stop the health care law from being put into place."

In fact, in a bit of a push poll move the pollster later asked point blank, "Now that you know Congresswoman Ros-Lehtinen supported the government shutdown, I'll ask you one more time: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for re-elect Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, or would you vote for her Democratic opponent?"

After that, only 42 percent would vote for Ros-Lehtinen. Fifty-three percent would vote for a generic Democrat.

A couple of notes on this:

1. Public Policy Polling is generally considered pretty reliable, but does only do commissioned work for Democrats and liberal groups. In this case that group was MoveOn.org.

2. PPP is spot polling the districts of several Republican congresspeople across the nation.

3. Obviously this is part of an effort to put pressure on Republicans to end the shutdown by scaring their more moderate members in less-than-airtight-safe districts.

4. Though, Ileana may very well be vulnerable at the moment, Democrats rarely field a well-funded Democrat against her. And by the time she's up for reelection next year, who knows how the shutdown will factor in by that point.

Follow Miami New Times on Facebook and Twitter @MiamiNewTimes.

Keep Miami New Times Free... Since we started Miami New Times, it has been defined as the free, independent voice of Miami, and we would like to keep it that way. Offering our readers free access to incisive coverage of local news, food and culture. Producing stories on everything from political scandals to the hottest new bands, with gutsy reporting, stylish writing, and staffers who've won everything from the Society of Professional Journalists' Sigma Delta Chi feature-writing award to the Casey Medal for Meritorious Journalism. But with local journalism's existence under siege and advertising revenue setbacks having a larger impact, it is important now more than ever for us to rally support behind funding our local journalism. You can help by participating in our "I Support" membership program, allowing us to keep covering Miami with no paywalls.

We use cookies to collect and analyze information on site performance and usage, and to enhance and customize content and advertisements. By clicking 'X' or continuing to use the site, you agree to allow cookies to be placed. To find out more, visit our cookies policy and our privacy policy.


Join the New Times community and help support independent local journalism in Miami.


Join the New Times community and help support independent local journalism in Miami.