The latest poll from Democrat-affiliated polling firm Public Policy Polling [PDF] shows Barack Obama with a teeny, tiny lead in Florida. It's 48-47 in favor of Obama, but since the race is so close Mitt Romney's choice of running mate could play a pivotal part of Florida's choice. Picking either Florida Senator Marco Rubio or former Secretary of State Condelezza Rice would give Romney the slight edge. All the others don't do much for him.
In a Obama-Biden vs. Romney-Rubio the Republican ticket would win 49 to 47.
Switch Rice out for Rubio and you get 46-45. Secretary Rice, notably, enjoys a 59 percent favorability rating in Florida. No one else asked about in the poll has a favorability rating that cracked 50 percent. Though, the idea of Rice as VP is probably the stuff of fantasy.
Other potential VPs don't help Romney very much in Florida. Obama takes a three-point lead with Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal on the ticket, maintains a one point lead with former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty as VP, and takes a four point lead with Ohio Senator Rob Portman as Romney's second-in-command.
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That shouldn't be much of a surprise. Jindal, Pawlenty and Portman don't have much of a profile in Florida.
Though, Republicans should be wary in assuming that Rubio could rev up Hispanic voters nationwide. In Florida, 41 percent of Hispanics approve of his job handling, but 47 percent disapprove. Rubio does best among white voters with 53 percent approving. Oddly though, Rubio does provide a noticeable bounce for Romney among Hispanics when added to the ticket.