There are a surprisingly large number of Florida Republicans considering a run for the White House right now: Former Gov. Jeb Bush, Senator Marco Rubio, Arkansas governor turned-Florida resident Mike Huckabee, and Florida-based neurosurgeon-turned-conservative figure Ben Carson. The funny thing is that most polls so far have shown them all being beaten briskly in their "home" state by Democrat Hillary Clinton in head-to-head match-ups.
Well, according to a new Quinnipiac poll, Jeb Bush has now pulled ahead of Clinton in the swinging Sunshine State, though all the others, including Rubio, lag behind the former First Lady.
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Here's how the Republican field stacks up against Clinton in head-to-head match ups:
- Bush at 45 percent to Clinton's 42 percent, compared to Clinton at 44 percent to Bush's 43 percent;
- Clinton at 46 percent to Rubio's 44 percent, compared to a 49 - 39 percent Clinton lead;
- She's at 46 percent to Paul's 43 percent, compared to a 50 - 38 percent Clinton lead;
- Clinton tops Christie 44 - 39 percent, compared to a 51 - 33 percent lead;
- Clinton over Huckabee 48 - 40 percent, compared to 51 - 34 percent;
- She tops Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker 46 - 40 percent;
- Clinton beats Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas 48 - 39 percent.
Though, Quinnipiac finds that Clinton may be hurt somewhat in the state over the flap about her emails while Secretary of State. Her favorability rating in the state is now a 49-46 split, down from 53-39 in February. Fifty-one percent say that the email issue is "very important" or "somewhat important" in their vote, with 56 percent saying serious issues remain. Though, 54 percent say that a congressional investigation into the e-mails would be politically motivated.
Meanwhile, the poll finds that 47 percent of Floridians have a favorable opinion of Jeb Bush compared to 42 who don't. Rubio's favorability rating in the state is at a surprisingly mediocre 42-38. All the other GOP candidate have positive favorability ratings in the state except for Chris Christie and Ted Cruz. Forty-four percent have an unfavorable opinion of New Jersey Gov. Christie compared to just 30 percent who do. Only 24 percent have a favorable impression of Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, compared to 30 percent who have an unfavorable opinion.