Does the Republican party have much of a future in Miami-Dade County? Not if current voter registration trends hold steady. In terms of registered voters, Republicans are now in third place behind Democrats and voters who have registered with no party affiliation.
With 1,290,602 total registered voters, Miami-Dade has the most voters in the state and accounts for roughly 10 percent of total voters in Florida. Whether Miami-Dade voters actually show up is a whole other matter.
According to the Division of Election’s latest numbers, 548,060 of those voters are Democrats. 360,442 are Republicans, and 362,745 have no party affiliation. So, yes there are now more independents than Republicans in the county.
This is also true in Broward County now (to no surprise), but Palm Beach still has more registered Republicans than independents, despite the fact it remains a blue-leaning county overall. However, voters with no party affiliation and those registered with minor parties do outnumber Republicans in Palm Beach.
Independent and minor party registrants now outnumber one of the major parties in 11 counties. In six of those Republicans hold the advantage, with many of those counties being relatively small population wise. Democrats hold the advantage of five, including South Florida's tri-county area along with Orange and Osceola counties.
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Of course, that voter registration advantage hasn’t translated into Democrat dominance in the county. Though municipal politics remains officially nonpartisan, both Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez and Miami Mayor Tomas Regalado are Republicans. The county is represented by three Republicans and two Democrats in the U.S. House. More Republicans also represent Miami-Dade in the state House.
However, if the trend continues and Democrats in Miami-Dade actually turn out the vote, the county could be looking at a much more blue future (and that’s not a sea-level rise joke).