Wednesday, September 8, 2010 at 4:31 p.m.
CNN and Time magazine just released the latest poll in both Florida's Gubernatorial and Senate races. While the poll conducted by Opinion Research shows Democratic Alex Sink with a surprising and comfortable seven point lead over Republican Governor candidate Rick Scott, the poll still shows Marco Rubio and Charlie Crist in a neck-and-neck race for the Senate seat. The poll also released demographic information, giving us an interesting look into where each candidates based of support lies.
Sink gets the support of 49 percent of registered voters compared to Scott's 42 percent. She leads amongst both men and woman, though Scott has a slight one point advantage amongst white voters. Despite Scott's choice of an African-American running mate (announced the day the poll begin), Sink has a huge advantage amongst non-white voters, 56 percent to 32 percent.
Scott holds no distinct advantage in any demographic group. The two candidates are virtually tied amongst voters over 50 and rural voters. Even 25 percent of Conservative say they'll vote for Sink. Sixty-seven percent of moderates say they'll vote for Sink, while 50 percent of independents say they'll do the same, compared to just 37 percent who say they'll vote for Scott.
Scott holds small advantages regionally. He holds a five point advantage in both "South Central" (which includes his homebase of Naples) and Northern Florida. However Sink gets 67 percent of the vote in South Florida.
Over in the Senate race, Rubio and Crist are neck and neck. In total Republican Rubio gets 36 percent of total registered voters compared to 34 percent for Independent Crist. Democrat Meek gets only 24 percent of the vote, though that's an improvement over many previous polls.
Meek has leads amongst urban voters, registered democrats, non-Whites, and voters in South Florida. That's not enough to make up for his poor performance in other catagories.
Rubio leads amongst male voters, white voters, voters over 50, those who attended college, and those who make more than $50k a year.
Crist leads amongst females, those under 50, moderates, and independents.