America's Most Beloved Stats Nerd Predicts a Rourke Oscar Win
Nate Silver, the human calculator behind FiveThirtyEight -- the magic blog that predicted the presidential race -- has now moved into the Oscar-predicting biz for New York. He's predicting in the Best Actor catagory a win for Mickey Rourke over Sean Penn, who at one time seemed a lock.
How confidant is he in a Rourke win? Exactly 71.1 percent sure. Told you he was a human calculator. But he's leaving little room for doubt in the Best Picture and Best Director races. He gives Slumdog Millionaire a 99.0 percent chance of winning, and the film's director a 99.7 percent chance of taking home a statuette.
[NY Mag via Gawker]
Get the Arts Newsletter
Weekly information on all the on goings in the art and event world. Find out what the hot trends are and what's happening this week in our Arts newsletter. Coming Soon.